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These terms and conditions form part of the Agreement between the Client and ourselves. Your statutory Consumer Rights are unaffected. Sergey Shirko has been studying the forex market for about ten years, and has been working in the FX industry since He has worked at a number of companies, including TeleTrade and Soft-FX. He has been the Chief Dealer of FXOpen since December In my opinion, it objectively reflects the fact that the information that we receive in these reports is of interest. Especially for those who are trying to understand the true causes behind the price movements in a particular market. So today I want to move from theory to practice and on the basis of data obtained in the COT report on 18th November to make a detailed analysis of one of the markets. My goal is to show you how I do in in order for you to be able to use it in your trading report. Today we look at the futures market Swiss franc. Below you can see the COT report for this instrument of November 15, which we received the 18th. Let me remind you that this report is published by the CFTC every Friday, where the data originates from last Tuesday i. The first one is the total number of open positions Open Interest. The second shows the change in the structure of open positions of commercial participants Commercial or as I often call them, operators. Here we can see that during the reporting week of 8th — 15th of November, the total number of open positions changed insignificantly. The amount increased just to contracts. Here I have outlined 5 trading sessions during which there have been changes in the report and noted the day when this data was published — when we received these data at our disposal. The price was falling during all five reporting days and finally on November 15, updated the lows of June For three days after that, while the report was not yet published, the price continued its decline i. On this basis, I conclude that the data presented in the report remains valid. Here we have the opportunity to compare not only absolute values that are presented in the COT report, but the relative values as well. I am personally convinced that it is much easier to work with relative figures than with absolute. The first relative measure I use is the COT Index. You can see this indicator at the bottom of the picture, just below the changes of net open positions of operators. Despite the fact that visually the two curves are identical, in strategy when you need to determine the reference levels, it is easier to operate with relative values, because these cot will always be in the same range. This index compares a current net open position with the high and low for the last 26 weeks six months. You can change the number of weeks involved in the index calculation at your discretion, but I use 26 weeks. This would mean that currently we have the maximum net long position of operators for the trading 26 weeks. Another relative indicator that I use you can find in the report see picture 1. This percentage of open long or short positions of commercial participants in the total open interest. We got a coefficient of 0. At the same time, if we look at the total volume of short positions the same of the contract, the operators keep only contracts or 5. I hope you have not lost the thread of my logical thinking and understand what I mean. Increasing this share it increases the probability that the price will reverse. If we look at the history of changes of this indicator, we can see that the price changed its direction when the value was smaller. It is easy to identify them, just by looking at the history and determining for which values of Open Interest Percent there was a change of trend. This does not mean that after the value reach these targets, I will immediately open a trade. As I said beforethe conditions discussed here are only one out of three points to be checked when opening a trade. Therefore, only after meeting these criteria do I start to report the technical analysis tools solely in order to enter the market. Finance Magnates is a global B2B provider of multi-asset trading news, research and events with special focus on electronic trading, banking, and investing. For more information, read our terms and conditions. You are using an outdated browser. Please upgrade your browser to improve your experience. All News Retail FX Institutional FX Binary Options Executives CryptoCurrency FinTech Intelligence. Our Quarterly Report incorporates unique data on trading volumes and traders, in-depth insights, special guest articles, regional information, regulations, updates and much more. This exclusive report aims to serve as a manual, answering all of the questions on the Chinese multi-asset trading industry that you were always afraid to ask. 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What do we see in the COT report? What do we see on the chart? COT Index The first relative measure I use is the COT Index. Open Interest Percent Another relative indicator that I use you can find in the report see picture 1. Got a news tip? Let Us Know Found a mistake? My name is Sergey Shirko. I have been studying the forex market more than ten years, and have been working in the FX industry since I have worked at a number of companies, including TeleTrade and Soft-FX. I have been the Chief Dealer of FXOpen since December Luxury Blockchain Startup Everledger to Secure Diamonds Deutsche Bank Launches New Global Markets Unit, Nasdaq Took Part in Largest Funding Round for European Trax Launches Accord with Bats Europe, Enabling MiFID II Luxury Blockchain Startup Everledger to Secure Diamonds Trading. Deutsche Bank Launches New Global Markets Unit, Reorganizes Investment Bank. Nasdaq Took Part in Largest Funding Round for European Blockchain Security. Trax Launches Accord with Bats Europe, Enabling MiFID II Equities Reporting. How to Choose a Signal Service: Addressing the Important Criterion. Revisiting France's FX, Binary Options Regulations, Will Others Follow? UK Elections - What Does it Mean for the Market? Retail FX Institutional FX Binary Options Executives CryptoCurrency FinTech. Directory Intelligence Events About. Newsletter intro Terms and Conditions: Finance Magnates Cookies policies. Sign up for our newsletter and get all the hottest news in your inbox daily. Be it a typo or a factual error - we do our best but we are also human! Do let us know and we'd be happy to check ourselves and fix if necessary.
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