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Forex gold prognozy

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forex gold prognozy

Yen Drops as Market Mood Brightens, British Pound Finds Footing. Gold Prices Face Lasting Pressure After Hawkish Fed Rate Decision. USD Shakes Off Sellers On Hawkish Fed, BoE Follows Suit Lifting GBP. DAX — Promising Pattern Continues to Build After False Breaks. Japanese Yen Stronger Than It Might Look. Trend Reversal Under Way? Fundamental Forecast for the US Dollar: Want to discuss the market outlook with a DailyFX analyst? Sign up for a live webinar! The US Dollar revisited eight-month lows only to roar higher in the final 48 hours of the trading week, erasing prior losses and touching a three-week high before finishing last week with a modest gain. The belated recovery followed Congressional testimony from ousted FBI director James Comey, which did not produce an unambiguous existential threat to for the Trump administration. That seemed to cool fears of political instability derailing the near-term Fed rate hike outlook. The greenback rose alongside front-end Treasury bond yields while gold — the benchmark anti-fiat asset gold turned tellingly lower. An increase in June has been all-but-certain for some however. More tellingly, the projected rate hike path shifted to the steepest in a month. Deepening political turm oil in Europe may give the Dollar a further lift. An inconclusive UK election outcome has made on-coming Brexit negotiations appear even more uncertain. As the political risk pendulum swings from the US to Europe once again, investors may opt to shun regional assets. That may see capital pouring out of the associated currencies and into comparable alternatives. The US unit is a natural beneficiary of such rebalancing and be all the more able to capitalize if the Fed incentivizes traders with a comparatively hawkish posture. Still, the argument for the other side is equally plausible. Another round of worrying headlines from Washington DC may yet spook financial markets and Fed officials alike. With that in mind, the landscape is uncertain and the outlook fluid. Fundamental Forecast for EUR: The Euro was lower on the week against most major currencies, falling by. S Dollar and Japanese Yen along with a The Euro ended the week stronger versus the British Poundas yet another shocking election result in the U. The European Central Bank took another dovish tilt towards forward outlookcutting inflation forecasts going out toand the Euro did not break its streak of recent strength against most major currencies on Daily charts. The ECB cut inflation forecasts for the next three years: Dropping forex to 1. This very much echoes recent commentary from Mario Draghi, remaining dovish in light of improvements within the European economy. But as those political risks abated with rather market-friendly outcomes, and as growth and inflation have continued to print in a positive direction, expectations for the ECB to step away from stimulus have continued to increase. Many prominent voices within Europe, particularly from Germany, have openly questioned the continued easy money policies from the ECB. This serves to highlight the divergence currently being seen around expectations for European economic policy. Euro trends remain buoyant against the backdrop of the U. Dollar and Japanese Yen, and until this changes, traders should look to address each market with some form of a bullish bias. Each of these rate decision can carry macro-overtones which can certainly impact Euro spot rates. On Wednesday, we get German inflation and Euro-Zone employment numbers; each of which can create a dose of near-term volatility. Contact and follow James on Twitter: Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Forex, it seems all that is needed to stir the market from its deeply-held sense of complacency in a bout of indigestion on lofty market valuations. The extremely low return on carry trades is struggling to keep pace with a general unease with the possibility of capital losses in risk trends. While there looms a range of both domestic and global event risk in the coming week, the focus is likely to default to general evaluations of sentiment. For event risk, data and standard events will likely defer to the influence of a few key gatherings among global policy makers. In the range of known events moving forward, it is mainly the foreign meetings for the US President Donald Trump that carry the most weight. The divisive US leader will start his week with a visit to the Middle East. That can help foster a reversal in global relationships and perhaps thaw global trade to the benefit of the Japanese business sector which has found itself on the skirts of discussions about countries that can be labeled as using unfair trade practices mainly currency devaluation through policy. For the former defense group, regular threats by the US leader to renegotiate its dues has put pressure on globalization which has materially helped countries like Japan heavily dependent on their shipment of goods abroad. The more definitive threat to quiet, directionless Yen crosses is the G7 gathering late into the week. If grievances are to be aired and critical trade relations — like those between Japan and the US or the US with all others — prognozy under pressure, the Japanese currency will find itself judged for its funding currency status. This move is often confused as a preference for the Yen as a safe haven, however that is not the most palatable interpretation for most. Instead the practical need is the reduction of highly leveraged notional and thematic trends. Carry trade unwind is far more frequently a motivation for the market. Among domestic issues, the most effective driver should it face a surprise would be the Japanese CPI figures. There are two ways to change appeal for a specific rate — either risk appetite succumbs to aversion or the yields themselves change to lift or lower the expected income. For Japanese data, the consumer inflation statistics are the obvious absentee for an eventual rate hike. It will be important to follow risk trends and technical patterns to keep accurate tabs on the Yen pairs next moves. This is gold news for the British Pound. The reality of the situation is quite different. If history is any guide, then the hung parliament outcome of the May general election may serve as a guidepost for what to expect: British Pound weakness immediately; and over the next month. The week ahead offers plenty of market moving data and events that an already-volatile British Pound will run into. Forex, wage growth and labor data due out on Wednesday will serve as an appetizer for the Thursday rate decision. A weak series of data this week would come at a time when the British Pound is already pre-disposed for more downside. To contact Christopher, email him at cvecchio dailyfx. Follow him in the DailyFX Real Time News feed and Twitter at CVecchioFX. Fundamental Forecast for Gold: Gold prices snapped a three week winning streak with prognozy precious metal dow n nearly 0. Pressured by a slight rebound in the U. Major headline forex fueled a pop higher in gold early in the week but the advance quickly fizzled. Even a surprise upset in the UK elections was unable to fuel demand after Theresa May lost her general majority in the House of Commons. So is the gold rally over? Heading into next week, all eyes fall on the Federal Reserve with the June interest rate decision and subsequent presser with Chair Janet Yellen slated for Wednesday. Market participants are widely expecting the central bank to raise the benchmark interest rate by 25bps and the focus will be on the updated quarterly projections as they pertain to growth, inflation and employment. The all-important interest rate dot-plot will be crucial in assessing the projected path of subsequent hikes and for gold prices, will be the most critical aspect of the release. Find out what current Gold positioning is saying about the current trend. Get more information on Sentiment here Free! Note that daily momentum has also made a clear rejection prognozy the threshold. Follow Michael on Twitter MBForex contact him at mboutros dailyfx. Fundamental Forecast for CAD: As usual, the weakness of the Canadian currency has gone hand-in-hand with a slide in the oil price on the continuing glut that has outweighed any concerns about supplies due to the spat between Qatar and its Arab neighbors including S aud i Arabia and Egypt. As for the Canadian economy, news of a bounce in employment has suggested to some analysts that the Bank of Canada should raise its benchmark interest rate sooner rather than later but that seems unlikely given the current weakness of hours worked and wage growth. There is little economic data on the calendar in the week to come, with April manufacturing sales on Thursday the only statistic of note. To contact Martin, email him at martin. Follow Martin on Twitter MartinSEssex. Check out the free DailyFX Quarterly Forecasts. Fundamental Australian Dollar Forecast: Find out what the trading community thinks of the currencies you love, and those you loathe, with the DailyFX sentiment guide. The Australian Dollar enjoyed quite a strong week last week but could falter in the days ahead. Growth may only have met expectations, but there were growing worries before the fact thanks to a nasty current-account miss. That is widely expected to produce another 0. Obviously, these will retain the capacity to move the currency. There will also be a speech from Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Guy Debelle in Sydney Thursday. On this basis, it seems unlikely that the Aussie will retain the momentum to sustain its uptrend, especially if key Australian export iron ore remains in a price dow ntrend. It plumbed eleven-month lows last week. The currency tends to suffer when that appetite is low. Contact and follow David on Twitter: Fundamental Forecast for NZD: The release is expected to show year-on-year GDP growing by 2. From a technical point of view, the recent breach of the weekly Fibonacci level at 0. NZDUSD Weekly Timeframe December — June A look at the IG Client Sentiment Indicator also provides a bullish impulse for the pair. Forex latest data shows retail traders are net short of NZDUSD by a ratio of 2. The four-hour chart however points to exhaustion in the recent rally after the June 8 high of 0. To contact Nick, email him at nicholas. Don't trade FX but want to learn more? Read the DailyFX Trading Guides. Market News Headlines getFormatDate 'Fri Jun 16 Technical Analysis Headlines getFormatDate 'Fri Jun 16 Japanese Yen Stronger Than It Might Look getFormatDate 'Fri Jun 16 Education Beginner Intermediate Advanced Expert Free Trading Guides. News getFormatDate 'Fri Jun 16 News getFormatDate 'Thu Jun 15 US Dollar May Rise on Fed Optimism, European Political Woes getFormatDate 'Sat Jun 10 Fundamental analysis, economic and market themes Connect via: Neutral US Dollar rebounds as Comey ducks bombshells in testimony Steady Fed rate hike forecast may see the recovery extended Eur opean political instability jitters might offer more support Want to discuss the market outlook with a DailyFX analyst? Related Articles Previous Articles From USD Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 Fed Leads Docket Loaded with Event Risk getFormatDate 'Sat Jun 10 Set to Weaken Further getFormatDate 'Sat Jun 10 Needs a New Impulse as Recent Rally Dries Up getFormatDate 'Sat Jun 10 The Euro played a key role in a number of the DailyFX Top Trading Opportunities for Please click here to access our trading guides, completely free of charge. Related Articles Previous Articles From EUR Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 ECB Projections to Set the Prognozy getFormatDate 'Sat May 27 But Will it Work? Yen Crosses Prognozy for Permanent Traction in Equity, Risk Slide getFormatDate 'Sat May 20 Fundamental analysis and market themes. Related Articles Previous Articles From JPY Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 Taper Not Yet a Topic of Concern getFormatDate 'Sat Apr 29 Disappointing Data Gold to Downside Pressure getFormatDate 'Sat Apr 22 No End In Sight For Accommodative Monetary Policy getFormatDate 'Fri Apr 14 British Pound to Remain Lower after UK Election Surprise getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 News events, market reactions, and macro trends. Related Articles Previous Articles From GBP Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 Parliament getFormatDate 'Sat May 27 It All Depends on the Election Opinion Polls getFormatDate 'Fri May 12 Due For a Deeper Correction Lower getFormatDate 'Sat May 06 Gold Prices Come Full Circle on Comey- All Eyes on FOMC getFormatDate 'Sat Jun 10 Short term trading and intraday technical levels Connect gold Related Articles Previous Articles From GOLD Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 Sell-off Responds to Key Zone of Interest getFormatDate 'Sat May 06 Financial markets, economics, fundamental and technical analysis. Related Articles Previous Articles From CAD Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 Which Way Will the BoC Jump? The Selling Pressure is Off For Now getFormatDate 'Sat May 06 Holding Up Well as Oil Price Drops. Australian Dollar May Find Itself Overextended getFormatDate 'Sat Jun 10 Gold markets, economics, journalism and fundamental analysis. Bearish The Aussie had a good week last week. Related Articles Previous Articles From AUD Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 Fundamental analysis and financial markets. New Zealand Dollar leads carry currencies higher on risk appetite Top local event risk this week is 1Q GDP Expect cross market influence from Fed, BoJ, BoE and SNB decisions Fundamental Forecast for NZD: Related Articles Previous Articles From NZD Related Prev Articles getFormatDate 'Mon Jun 12 NEWS Articles Real Time News Daily Briefings Forecasts DailyFX Authors. CALENDAR Economic Calendar Webinar Calendar Central Bank Rates Dividend Calendar. EDUCATION Forex Trading University Trading Guide. DAILYFX PLUS RATES CHARTS RSS. DailyFX is the news and education website of IG Group. forex gold prognozy

5 thoughts on “Forex gold prognozy”

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